Over one third of retail trade managers believe prices will increase in June-August 2025 period

Autor: Cătălin Lupășteanu

Publicat: 27-06-2025 10:53

Actualizat: 27-06-2025 13:53

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Sursă foto: Andriy Popov / Panthermedia / Profimedia

Over one third (37.1%) of Romanian retail trade managers and 45.9% of those in the construction sector believe that prices will increase during the June-August 2025 period, according to data the National Institute of Statistics (INS) published on Wednesday.

Based on the findings from the business tendency survey, managers in the manufacturing industry anticipate relative production stability over the next three months, reflected by a balance of +5.4%. Regarding the number of employees, relative stability is also expected, with a balance of -3.7%. Industrial product prices are expected to follow an upward trend, indicated by a balance of +28.7%.

As for production volume in the construction sector, a positive dynamic is anticipated over the next three months, with a net balance of +20.1%. Managers foresee relative stability in staffing levels (net balance +4.0%). Construction work prices are expected to follow an upward trend, reflected by a balance of +43.2%.

In the retail trade sector, managers estimate a stable turnover trend for the next three months (net balance +0.7%). Regarding workforce, employers anticipate a moderate increase in the number of employees (net balance +9.3%). Price increases are expected by the majority of respondents (37.1%), while only 1.5% believe prices will decrease, resulting in a balance of 35.6%.

Based on the estimated data, the volume of services (turnover) projected for the next three months suggests a relatively stable trend, with a net balance of +5.3%. In the services sector, the number of employees is forecast to remain almost unchanged, with a net balance of +2.5%. Selling or billing prices are expected to follow an upward trend, reflected by a balance of +22.2%.

The INS notes that the results presented in this release were obtained through statistical business tendency surveys conducted in June 2025, reflecting the estimates made by company managers regarding trends in economic activity, employee numbers, and prices. The final result is expressed as a percentage balance, calculated as the difference between the share of those who selected the positive outcome (will increase) and the share of those who indicated the negative outcome (will decrease).

The institution emphasises that the net balance indicates the perception of business managers regarding the dynamic of a phenomenon, and should not be mistaken for the actual growth or decline rate of any statistical indicator produced by INS.

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