Almost a third of Romanians report that they would vote with the Social Democratic Party - PSD (31.1%) at the December 1 legislative election; next in the voters' preference are the Alliance for the Union of Romanians - AUR (20.7%) and the National Liberal Party - PNL (16.2%), reveals the second part of an INSCOP survey commissioned by daily Libertatea and released on Friday.
Asked which parties they would vote with, the respondents who expressed an option (81.7% of the total sample, margin of error 3.3%) made the following choices: 31.1% - PSD, 20.7% - AUR, 16.2% - PNL, 12.7% - Save Romania Union (USR), 5.9% - SOS Romania, 4.5% - Hungarian Democratic Union of Romania (UDMR), 2.6% - REPER, 1.2% each the Right Party and the Romanian Ecologist Party (PER); 1.1% - Force of the Right Party (FD); and 1% - SENS Party. 0.5% of the respondents say they would vote for an independent, and 1.3% for a different political formation.
The poll also found that 67.3% of Romanians will definitely cast ballots in the December 1 parliamentary election, and 58.7% have made up their mind as to which party to vote for.
"The turnover estimate for the parliamentary election as it results from the percentage of 67.3% self-declared sure show-up voters, correlated with those who have a concrete option, i.e. choose a party from the list, is 58.1%. However, it might be that this percentage is overestimated, given that the parliamentary ballot will not be organized on the same day as the presidential one," INSCOP said in a release on Friday.
Compared to those who expressed their preference for a party on the list and who declare that they are sure to turn out to vote (58.1% of the total sample, margin of error 3.9%), 30.7% of the respondents would vote with PSD; 21.2% with AUR; 15.4% with PNL; 12.8% with USR; 5.3% with SOS Romania. UDMR would get 4.7%; REPER - 3.1%; Right Party - 1%; PER - 0.8%; FD - 1.3%; and SENS Party - 1.1%. 0.6% of the respondents say they would vote for an independent, and 2% with another party.
The opinion poll was conducted by INSCOP Research, a corporate member of ESOMAR, at the commission of daily Libertatea. The data was collected between November 7 - 12 by computer-assisted telephone interviewing. The sample was 1,100 respondents, representative of the significant social demographic categories (sex, age, occupation) for the non-institutionalized population of Romania aged 18 and over. The maximum admissible error is ą 2.95%, and the confidence level is 95%.
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